The Cost Curve for AI Agents Is Falling Fast — But Not Fast Enough for Most Teams

API costs are reportedly dropping 10x every 18 months, which means today's $100K agent deployment could cost $10K next year. The catch: most teams can't afford to wait.

A useful framing from @PaulVuAI on the economics of agent deployment: API costs are falling roughly 10x every 18 months, which means a $100K agent system today could theoretically run for $10K by next year and $1K the year after. The implication is that many agent use cases that are currently cost-prohibitive will become viable through pure infrastructure deflation — no architectural changes required.

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